Why did the arrogant Russian leader Putin apologize to Azerbaijan?

Russian leader Putin apologized to Azerbaijan for shooting down his plane. Putin is a leader known for his arrogance. Since he apologized, there are 3 possibilities.

He is afraid that Azerbaijan will take action against Russia on the same side as the West.
He is afraid that Azerbaijan will respond strongly.

Or Putin himself, known for his arrogance, has started to get scared.

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